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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: The US dollar stabilizes above the 98 mark, and the news of miserable tariffs ignited." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
On August 11, early trading in the Asian market on Monday, Beijing time, the US dollar index hovered around 98.23. Last Friday, the US dollar index stabilized above the 98 mark and finally closed up 0.21% to 98.24, but closed down 0.42% on the weekly basis; US Treasury yields rose, with the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields closed at 4.286%, and the 2-year U.S. Treasury yields closed at 3.769%. Spot gold fluctuated back and forth near the $3,400 mark and finally closed up 0.04%, closing at $3,397.37/ounce. However, affected by the White House's report on gold taxes, gold futures fluctuated violently. New York gold futures once refreshed its historical high to $3,534.1 during the session; spot silver finally closed up 0.13%, at $38.3/ounce. Affected by news that Putin will meet with Trump, international crude oil fell for the seventh consecutive trading day. WTI crude oil fluctuated widely during the day, finally closing down 0.79% at $62.68/barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed down 0.44% at $65.71/barrel.
Dollar Index: As of press time, the US dollar index hovered at US$98.23. The dollar strengthened last Friday, but traders priced more interest rate cuts this year as weak economic data led to traders' potential for more rate cuts, while investors were also evaluating President Trump's nomination for the Fed, which saw the dollar fall weekly. The dollar has fallen since the July employment report revealed that employers increased fewer than expected jobs in the month, and the increase in employment in the previous months was also significantly lowered. Other data, including weak real estate market and service industry data, also indicate that the economy is slowing down. TechniqueOn the surface, if the US dollar index successfully climbs above 98.50, it will move towards the 98.90 moving average of 50. RSI is in a mild area, and if the right catalyst appears, there is still a lot of room for power.
On the Asian session on Monday, gold hovered around 3383.07. Spot gold fluctuated narrowly last Friday, closing at $3,397.13 per ounce, close to flat. The uncertainty of tariff policies and the rising expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut still provide support for gold prices. However, US gold futures have been in a high and a decline. This week, the US July CPI data will be welcomed, with the market paying a lot of attention and investors need to pay attention. The survey shows that most analysts and retail investors tend to be bullish on the gold future.
On the Asian session on Monday, crude oil trading around 62.40. Oil prices remained roughly stable last Friday, as markets awaited meeting between Russian President Putin and U.S. President Trump on Friday, but oil prices hit their biggest weekly drop since late June as the economic outlook hit tariffs. Oil prices this week focused on the meeting between Trump and Putin, while also focusing on the OPEC monthly crude oil market report, EIA monthly short-term energy outlook report, and IEA monthly crude oil market report released on Tuesday and Wednesday.
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